SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterhead in this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Stranraer |
48.49% ( 0.24) | 25.41% ( 0.04) | 26.1% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.49% ( -0.34) | 51.51% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.69% ( -0.3) | 73.31% ( 0.29) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.74% ( -0.04) | 21.26% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.82% ( -0.05) | 54.17% ( 0.05) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% ( -0.41) | 34.48% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.8% ( -0.44) | 71.19% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 48.48% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.1% |
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