Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
