SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | East Fife |
45.37% ( -0.26) | 24.56% ( 0.07) | 30.06% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( -0.24) | 45.52% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( -0.23) | 67.85% ( 0.23) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.84% ( -0.21) | 20.16% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.55% ( -0.34) | 52.45% ( 0.34) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% ( 0) | 28.39% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.86% ( 0) | 64.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | East Fife |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 45.37% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.06% |
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