SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
37.85% ( -0.03) | 24.84% ( -0.01) | 37.31% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.34% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% ( 0.02) | 44.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.74% ( 0.02) | 67.26% ( -0.02) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.01) | 23.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( -0.01) | 57.49% ( 0.01) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( 0.03) | 23.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.1% ( 0.04) | 57.9% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.85% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0)1-3 @ 4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.31% |
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