SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Dumbarton |
41.61% ( -0.07) | 24.1% ( -0.02) | 34.29% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.6% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.21% ( 0.11) | 41.79% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.8% ( 0.11) | 64.19% ( -0.11) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( 0.02) | 20.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.36% ( 0.03) | 52.64% ( -0.03) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( 0.1) | 23.97% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.79% ( 0.14) | 58.21% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 41.61% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.29% |
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