SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
34.84% ( 0.04) | 25.02% ( -0) | 40.13% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( 0.04) | 45.98% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( 0.03) | 68.29% ( -0.03) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( 0.04) | 25.62% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.49% ( 0.05) | 60.51% ( -0.05) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% | 22.78% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.51% ( -0) | 56.49% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.84% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.13% |
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