Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
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