Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.