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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
33.25% ( 0.15) | 24.4% ( -0.07) | 42.35% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.52% ( 0.38) | 43.48% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( 0.38) | 65.87% ( -0.38) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( 0.27) | 25.37% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.83% ( 0.38) | 60.17% ( -0.38) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( 0.13) | 20.65% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.77% ( 0.2) | 53.23% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.25% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 42.35% |
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