SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Elgin City |
68.88% ( 0.74) | 18.17% ( -0.39) | 12.94% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.76% ( 0.96) | 39.24% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.42% ( 1) | 61.57% ( -1) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.65% ( 0.45) | 10.34% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.18% ( 1.01) | 33.82% ( -1.02) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.19% ( 0.08) | 41.8% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.73% ( 0.07) | 78.27% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.25)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.47% Total : 68.87% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.17% | 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.94% |
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