Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Elgin City | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
30.89% ( -0.15) | 27.47% ( 0.1) | 41.64% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.4% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.96% ( -0.43) | 57.04% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.07% ( -0.35) | 77.93% ( 0.35) |
Elgin City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.3% ( -0.33) | 33.7% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.65% ( -0.36) | 70.35% ( 0.37) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% ( -0.17) | 26.99% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% ( -0.23) | 62.35% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Elgin City | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.89% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.64% |
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