SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 5 | Stirling Albion | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Annan Athletic | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Elgin City | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Stranraer | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Albion Rovers | 6 | -1 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Stranraer |
46.35% ( 1.62) | 24.73% ( 0.04) | 28.92% ( -1.66) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.15% ( -1.02) | 46.85% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.9% ( -0.96) | 69.1% ( 0.96) |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( 0.29) | 20.28% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.36% ( 0.46) | 52.64% ( -0.45) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( -1.67) | 29.86% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( -2.06) | 65.95% ( 2.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 46.35% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.23% Total : 28.92% |
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