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Scottish League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
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Stenhousemuir
3 - 1
Stranraer

Sewell (5'), Jamieson (31'), Crighton (36')
Wedderburn (33'), Brown (75')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Hilton (53')
Brady (32'), Grant (39'), Malcolm (81')
Grant (81')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stenhousemuir and Stranraer.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forfar 1-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 2-2 East Fife
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawStranraer
41.63% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 24.1% (-0.416 -0.42) 34.26% (0.43 0.43)
Both teams to score 60.59% (1.623 1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19% (2.067 2.07)41.81% (-2.065 -2.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79% (2.051 2.05)64.21% (-2.049 -2.05)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.872 0.87)20.28% (-0.87 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.36% (1.369 1.37)52.63% (-1.367 -1.37)
Stranraer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (1.221 1.22)24% (-1.219 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (1.712 1.71)58.24% (-1.71 -1.71)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 41.63%
    Stranraer 34.26%
    Draw 24.1%
StenhousemuirDrawStranraer
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.111 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.192 0.19)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.11 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.202 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.466 -0.47)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.046 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.401 -0.4)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.152 0.15)
2-3 @ 3% (0.197 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.099 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.26%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Forfar 1-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 3-1 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-3 Dumbarton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stirling 3-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Annan 2-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-0 Albion Rovers
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 2-2 East Fife
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Edinburgh 3-2 Stranraer
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Elgin 2-2 Stranraer
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 2-2 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Forfar 2-0 Stranraer
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stranraer 1-0 Annan
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two


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