SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
40.88% ( -0.08) | 25.16% ( 0.06) | 33.96% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.23% ( -0.26) | 46.77% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( -0.24) | 69.03% ( 0.24) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( -0.15) | 22.76% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% ( -0.22) | 56.45% ( 0.22) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( -0.11) | 26.52% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.28% ( -0.15) | 61.72% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.96% |
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