SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | East Fife |
44.12% ( -0.01) | 26.04% ( 0.01) | 29.85% |
| Both teams to score 52.24% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% ( -0.05) | 51.9% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% ( -0.04) | 73.65% ( 0.04) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( -0.02) | 23.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% ( -0.04) | 57.42% ( 0.04) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( -0.03) | 31.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% ( -0.03) | 68.22% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 44.11% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.85% |
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