SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
44.46% ( 1.35) | 25.7% ( -0.27) | 29.84% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.49% ( 0.68) | 50.5% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.57% ( 0.59) | 72.43% ( -0.6) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.35% ( 0.94) | 22.65% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.71% ( 1.38) | 56.29% ( -1.38) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( -0.42) | 31.07% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% ( -0.49) | 67.39% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.46% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.84% |
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