Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Partick Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
56.42% ( 0.13) | 23.44% ( 0.16) | 20.13% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 50.56% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.62% ( -1.04) | 49.38% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.57% ( -0.95) | 71.42% ( 0.94) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.69% ( -0.33) | 17.3% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.34% ( -0.58) | 47.66% ( 0.58) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.14% ( -0.9) | 38.86% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.41% ( -0.86) | 75.59% ( 0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Partick Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.41% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.44% Total : 20.13% |
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