SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 87.3%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 3.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 4-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.29%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Dundee United |
87.3% ( 1.24) | 9.03% ( -0.77) | 3.68% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 40.25% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.25% ( 1.5) | 28.75% ( -1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.33% ( 1.82) | 49.68% ( -1.81) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.68% ( 0.47) | 4.32% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.11% ( 1.44) | 17.89% ( -1.43) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.07% ( -0.9) | 57.93% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.44% ( -0.5) | 89.56% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Dundee United |
| 3-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.45)1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.34)5-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.48)4-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.17)6-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.09)6-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.2)5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.69% Total : 87.28% | 1-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.39% Total : 9.03% | 0-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.14% Total : 3.68% |
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