SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Celtic had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Celtic win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Celtic |
51.1% ( 0.01) | 24.72% ( 0.01) | 24.18% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% ( -0.04) | 50.26% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( -0.04) | 72.21% ( 0.04) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( -0.01) | 19.67% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.35% ( -0.02) | 51.65% ( 0.03) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% ( -0.03) | 35.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.79% ( -0.04) | 72.2% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0)3-0 @ 5% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 51.09% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 24.18% |
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