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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 91.67%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 2.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.13%) and 2-0 (11.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.98%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (0.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
91.67% ( -0.01) | 6.27% ( 0) | 2.06% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 34.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.58% ( -0) | 24.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.84% ( -0) | 44.15% |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.02% ( -0) | 2.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.57% ( -0.01) | 13.43% ( 0) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.84% ( 0.02) | 64.15% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.37% ( 0.01) | 92.63% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
| 3-0 @ 13.81% 4-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 8.53% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.39% ( 0)2-1 @ 5.23% ( 0)6-0 @ 5% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.79% ( 0)7-0 @ 2.51% ( -0)6-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)7-1 @ 1.11% 8-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.65% Total : 91.65% | 1-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.91% 2-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 6.27% | Other @ 2.06% Total : 2.06% |
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