SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 59.32% | 21.1% | 19.58% |
| Both teams to score 57.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.06% | 39.94% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.69% | 62.3% ( 0) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.85% | 13.15% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.18% | 39.82% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% | 33.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.33% ( 0) | 70.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 9.07% 3-1 @ 6.71% 3-0 @ 6.22% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.41% 4-0 @ 3.16% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.51% Total : 59.32% | 1-1 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 5.28% 0-1 @ 4.82% 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.93% 1-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.58% |
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