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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee United |
40.01% ( -0.23) | 28.92% ( 0.07) | 31.07% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 44.41% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.93% ( -0.2) | 62.07% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.21% ( -0.15) | 81.79% ( 0.15) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( -0.24) | 30.34% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.47% ( -0.29) | 66.53% ( 0.29) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( 0.01) | 36.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.96% ( 0.01) | 73.04% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.39% Total : 40% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.91% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 31.07% |
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