SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
51.38% ( 1.25) | 24.76% ( -0.32) | 23.86% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 51.39% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( 0.47) | 50.7% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( 0.41) | 72.6% ( -0.41) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( 0.7) | 19.73% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.25% ( 1.12) | 51.74% ( -1.13) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.02% ( -0.58) | 35.97% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.24% ( -0.59) | 72.75% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.37% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.86% |
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