Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.34%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (12.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Alcorcon	Draw	Real Zaragoza
32.65% ( -0.05)	30.25% ( -0.03)	37.09% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 41.32% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34% (

0.06)

65.99% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.42% (

0.04)

84.58% (

-0.05)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.76% (

-0)

37.23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.98%

74.02% (

-0)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.83% (

0.08)

34.17% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.14% (

0.09)

70.86% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Alcorcon 32.64%

Real Zaragoza 37.09%

Draw 30.24%

Alcorcon	Draw	Real Zaragoza
1-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 32.64%	1-1 @ 13.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.24%	0-1 @ 13.66% 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.09%