Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huesca in this match.
-0.25) 
0.56) 
