Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
0.49) 
-0.11) 
