SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.46%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.12%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Alcorcon |
47.46% ( -0.35) | 30.02% ( 0.02) | 22.53% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 36.81% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.17% ( 0.12) | 68.82% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.52% ( 0.08) | 86.47% ( -0.08) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( -0.12) | 29.6% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( -0.15) | 65.64% ( 0.15) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.29% ( 0.41) | 47.71% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.98% ( 0.3) | 83.01% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 17.19% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.26% Total : 47.45% | 0-0 @ 14.12% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.3% Total : 30.01% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.38% Total : 22.52% |
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