Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.46%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.12%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Alcorcon
47.46% ( -0.35)	30.02% ( 0.02)	22.53% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 36.81% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.17% (

0.12)

68.82% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.52% (

0.08)

86.47% (

-0.08)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

-0.12)

29.6% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

-0.15)

65.64% (

0.15)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.29% (

0.41)

47.71% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.98% (

0.3)

83.01% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Leganes 47.45%

Alcorcon 22.52%

Draw 30.01%

Leganes	Draw	Alcorcon
1-0 @ 17.19% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 47.45%	0-0 @ 14.12% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 30.01%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.38% Total : 22.52%