Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.