Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 41.37%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 28.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.