Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Amorebieta in this match.
