Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad B win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad B win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad B would win this match.
