Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
