SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Cordoba had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest Cordoba win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Cordoba |
43.36% ( -0) | 28.12% ( 0.01) | 28.51% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.78% ( -0.05) | 60.22% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.59% ( -0.04) | 80.41% ( 0.04) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.03) | 27.57% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.91% ( -0.04) | 63.08% ( 0.04) |
| Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.77% ( -0.04) | 37.23% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.98% ( -0.04) | 74.01% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Cordoba |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 43.36% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 28.51% |
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