Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
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