SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal II | Draw | Granada |
23.48% ( 0) | 26.18% ( -0.08) | 50.34% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.89% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.58% ( 0.28) | 56.42% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.57% ( 0.22) | 77.43% ( -0.22) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.49% ( 0.16) | 39.51% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.8% ( 0.15) | 76.2% ( -0.15) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( 0.15) | 22.48% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.96% ( 0.22) | 56.04% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal II | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.48% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 50.34% |
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