Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
