Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal II | Draw | Espanyol |
33.39% ( 1.86) | 27.11% ( 0.71) | 39.5% ( -2.56) |
Both teams to score 50.23% ( -1.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.92% ( -2.35) | 55.08% ( 2.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.67% ( -1.97) | 76.33% ( 1.97) |
Villarreal II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.04% ( 0.07) | 30.96% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( 0.08) | 67.26% ( -0.08) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% ( -2.44) | 27.24% ( 2.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.33% ( -3.29) | 62.67% ( 3.29) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal II | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.39% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.45) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.5% |
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