Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 41.4%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 28.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Burgos win it was 1-0 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.04) 
