Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Cartagena
37.01% ( 0.24)	29.2% ( 0.02)	33.79% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 44.24% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.44% (

-0.07)

62.55% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.85% (

-0.05)

82.14% (

0.05)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.58% (

0.12)

32.41% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.07% (

0.13)

68.93% (

-0.13)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.45% (

-0.21)

34.55% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.73% (

-0.23)

71.26% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 37%

Cartagena 33.79%

Draw 29.18%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 37%	1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.18%	0-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 33.79%