Levante will certainly be confident entering this match considering their recent form and impressive record against Atletico over the last couple of seasons. Simeone's side are taking the Copa del Rey extremely seriously, though, and we believe that the visitors will secure a narrow victory in this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Levante had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Levante win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
0.02) 
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