SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Villarreal |
38.87% ( -0.44) | 26.53% ( 0.34) | 34.59% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( -1.41) | 52.58% ( 1.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% ( -1.22) | 74.23% ( 1.21) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( -0.89) | 26.42% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.4% ( -1.19) | 61.59% ( 1.19) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.06% ( -0.63) | 28.94% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.18% ( -0.78) | 64.82% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
