Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 35.65%. A win for Levante had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Levante win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
-0.78) 
0.87) 
