SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 47.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Lugo |
47.22% ( 0.03) | 28.64% ( -0.07) | 24.14% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.2% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.93% ( 0.22) | 64.07% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.76% ( 0.16) | 83.24% ( -0.16) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( 0.12) | 27.39% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.14% ( 0.16) | 62.86% ( -0.16) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.74% ( 0.17) | 43.26% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.49% ( 0.14) | 79.51% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 15.34% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 47.22% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.63% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.02% Total : 24.14% |
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