SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 36.77%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 31.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.51%) and 1-2 (6.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.46%), while for a Malaga win it was 1-0 (13.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Cartagena |
| 31.12% | 32.11% | 36.77% |
| Both teams to score 36.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.72% | 71.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.96% | 88.04% |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.55% | 41.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.05% | 77.95% |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.68% | 37.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.9% | 74.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 13.62% 2-0 @ 6% 2-1 @ 5.91% 3-0 @ 1.76% 3-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.09% Total : 31.12% | 0-0 @ 15.46% 1-1 @ 13.42% 2-2 @ 2.91% Other @ 0.3% Total : 32.09% | 0-1 @ 15.24% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 6.62% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.77% |
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