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Segunda Division | Gameweek 17
Dec 5, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
1 - 2
Cartagena

Martinez (17' og.)
Munoz (42'), Rahmani (90'), Martinez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gallar (29'), de la Bella (58')
Gil (9'), de la Bella (80'), Claveria (89')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Cartagena.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 36.77%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 31.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.51%) and 1-2 (6.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.46%), while for a Malaga win it was 1-0 (13.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
MalagaDrawCartagena
31.12%32.11%36.77%
Both teams to score 36.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.72%71.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.96%88.04%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.55%41.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.05%77.95%
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68%37.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9%74.1%
Score Analysis
    Malaga 31.12%
    Cartagena 36.77%
    Draw 32.09%
MalagaDrawCartagena
1-0 @ 13.62%
2-0 @ 6%
2-1 @ 5.91%
3-0 @ 1.76%
3-1 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 31.12%
0-0 @ 15.46%
1-1 @ 13.42%
2-2 @ 2.91%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 32.09%
0-1 @ 15.24%
0-2 @ 7.51%
1-2 @ 6.62%
0-3 @ 2.47%
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 36.77%

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