Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
-0.05) 
0.1) 
