Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 50.11%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.76%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.04) 
