Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 49.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 22.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Cartagena
49.06% ( -0)	28.53%	22.41% ( 0)

Both teams to score 39.94% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.17%

64.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.23%

83.77%

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

-0)

26.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88% (

-0)

62.12% (

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.58% (

45.42% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.73% (

81.27% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 49.05%

Cartagena 22.41%

Draw 28.52%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 16.03% 2-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 8.33% 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.65% 4-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.44% 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.71% Total : 49.05%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 12.18% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.52%	0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.7% Total : 22.41%