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Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 7, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Toralin

Ponferradina
3 - 1
Burgos

Naranjo (19'), Antonio Rios (40'), Saverio (85')
Adot (90'), Moran (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Guillermo (70')
Matos (45')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Amorebieta 1-0 Ponferradina
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 0-0 Girona
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result
PonferradinaDrawBurgos
50.1%26.08%23.82%
Both teams to score 47.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.21%55.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08%76.92%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67%22.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2%55.8%
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.16%38.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.43%75.57%
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 50.1%
    Burgos 23.82%
    Draw 26.07%
PonferradinaDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 13%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.22%
3-0 @ 4.87%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 50.1%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.67%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.2%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.82%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ponferradina 4-2 Cartagena
Sunday, May 1 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Fuenlabrada 2-3 Ponferradina
Saturday, April 23 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 3-1 Lugo
Sunday, April 17 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Almeria 3-0 Ponferradina
Monday, April 11 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Ponferradina 1-2 Las Palmas
Sunday, April 3 at 3pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 3-1 Ponferradina
Sunday, March 27 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 0-2 Almeria
Saturday, April 30 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 0-0 Burgos
Sunday, April 24 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 2-1 UD Ibiza
Sunday, April 17 at 3pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 3-1 Burgos
Sunday, April 10 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 0-0 Sporting Gijon
Sunday, April 3 at 3pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 1-0 Tenerife
Sunday, March 27 at 3pm in Segunda Division


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