Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
0.89) 
-0.92) 
