Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Elche had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
0.23) 
-0.3) 
